Showing posts with label Dr Strangelove. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Dr Strangelove. Show all posts

Tuesday, 3 December 2024

Audible Book: Nuclear War A Scenario

Well the title grabs your attention for sure. The theme tune of "Protect and Survive" rings in my ears but this is an American slant, so the melting milk bottles of Sheffield are not mentioned (see Threads, "THE" Nuclear War film). Nevertheless the scientific effects of nuclear hydrogen (H) bombs are chillingly accurate, well researched and repeats successfully what others have already stated, nuclear war is an Armageddon that you don't want to experience  (see below, the mushroom cloud cover will sell the book for sure):


Despite the warnings from history we never seem to earn and we are only happy when we are playing with fire. Annie Jacobsen then spins a scenario to draw the reader into a plausible sequence of events, albeit "unlikely" whereby a nuclear armed minor state (spoiler alert - North Korea) launches an attack on the United States of America .. twice, an ICBM and a submarine launched one. The response (because there may well be a third) is to obliterate North Korea, but because of technology defects on the Russia monitoring satellites they believe (falsely?) that this is an attack on Mother Russia and immediately fall into the "dead-man's hand" counter-strike mentality because they cannot talk to the US President (because he is "unavailable"). The Kremlin-Washington hotline goes very cold. What China would do in response to it meanwhile soaking up radioactivity by the mega-Currie is not deliberated, or India or Pakistan. The decapitation effect of not getting the President of the United States out of Washington in time is though. This is a curious thought experiment of things not going to plan. 

I have friends who are sceptical as to the plausibility of the scenario, stating that sixties-to-nineties technologies have been modernised (despite what detractors say of all things Russian) and the kind of mistakes Annie says could happen just don't add up. I do hope so. There is much that does not add up in the real world, but that is my worry. I read it (or rather listened to it) and had that morbid fascination of 'good when finished'. It did feel that Dr Strangelove had undergone a year 2000+ makeover, but highlighted that command elements of the Superpowers are (or could be) stuck in the 1970s.  

Links: 


The more I look the more I wonder how thin is the knife edge we walk?

Nuclear Close Calls: 


Monday, 14 May 2018

RAND looks at the uses of AI and then takes a long look at the chances of an accidental Nuclear War!

This is not a passing reference to Dr. Strangelove, in fact quite the opposite. In that film the humans were trying to de-escalate after an errant commander's psychosis unwittingly starts off a chain reaction of events that leads to nuclear Armageddon (sorry should have said "spoiler alert" before that). RAND's interpretation of risk is somewhat different and more frightening:
Especially as "Deep Learning" is much more Black Box than the GOFAI (Good Old Fashioned Artificial Intelligence) symbolic-based Expert Systems. As an old (and distinguished) AI Professor from Aberdeen University faculty once said of intelligent autonomous systems (in this case Air Traffic Control): "Yes very clever, but keep a (sensible) human in the loop please, that might be my flight you happen to be working with!" aka "Always watch the watchers!"

Saturday, 3 February 2018

Dr Strangelove, I finally managed to watch the whole thing :)

Confession: I has seen snippets but not the whole film; so therefore long overdue I treated myself tonight (see posting date) to watch the "whole thing" on Netflix .. "Dr Strangelove; or How I Stopped Worrying and Learned to Love the Bomb". Oh boy, do you laugh or cry or laugh crying? Peter Sellers was brilliant multiple time (easy as the comic genius plays multiple characters) over and George C. Scott is no longer "Patton" in my eyes but General Buck Turgidson (see below, I cannot decide which photograph I like or fear better):

The "Thinking General":


Or the "Flustered General":


Meanwhile the President slowly sees his legacy to the world, "Nuclear Armageddon", unfolding before his disbelieving eyes (see below):


But the film is ultimately stolen by the wheelchair bound Dr Strangelove and his rational but crazy thought processes that define the principles of Cold War MAD [Mutually Assured Destruction] (see below):


Our ultimate fate is unfortunately decided (or rather doomed) by good old fashioned American ingenuity and know how that opens the bomb bay doors (see below):


So, how close to the truth was it?
https://www.newyorker.com/news/news-desk/almost-everything-in-dr-strangelove-was-true

Even more bizarre are the bits that Kubrik cut from the film because it they were too strange enough or he deemed tasteless:
http://www.bfi.org.uk/news-opinion/news-bfi/features/rare-images-dr-strangelove-custard-pie-fight

On a final note the President ultimately has the last say:
"Gentleman. You can't fight in here. This is the war room!"